Journal: News & Comment

Wednesday, November 12, 2003
# 10:25:00 AM:

Bad estimating

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In general, human beings aren't too good at estimating hard numbers, just as we don't instinctively understand probability very well. Here's an example:

I heard that when the room is 30% women, it feels like it's half and half. Scan a room. Guess the percentage of men/women and then count. How good are you at guessing?

We're good at other things, though.


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