Journal: News & Comment

Sunday, February 08, 2004
# 10:18:00 AM:


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Like many both inside and outside the United States, I'm fascinated by the campaign of former Vermont governor Howard Dean, who seemed to be the front-runner for the Democratic nomination until people actually started voting.

Here's the best analysis so far (by Clay Shirky) of why Dean only seemed a sure thing. It has much to say about how Dean's Internet-focused campaign has changed things, because it showed that such a campaign can skew out the old ways of predicting who might win a vote.


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